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Election 2000: Up for grabs
A guide to all the hot races from coast to coast.
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By Anthony York
Nov. 7, 2000 |
With experts calling this race the closest in 40 years, and control of both houses of Congress also on the line, Election Night 2000 is likely to be a late one. There are still more than 20 states up for grabs in the presidential race, along with more than 40 hot House races and 11 crucial Senate contests.
What follows is Salon's scorecard, designed for you to print out so you can follow along into the late hours. The state and congressional races are organized by time zone so you can check off various races as polls close in those states when you're watching the results at home. Republicans hold five-seat majorities in both the Senate and the House, but watch the races below to see who will be in control next year. Included are some things to watch hour by hour, as polls close in each time zone, to monitor emerging Election Night trends. An asterisk denotes an incumbent.
Eastern time zone
Things to look for: If any one candidate takes Michigan, Pennsylvania and Florida, the night is all but over. Texas Gov. George W. Bush has a better chance of piecing together 270 without Pennsylvania or Florida than Vice President Al Gore does. Watch for the Ralph Nader factor in Michigan and Florida.
| EASTERN TIME ZONE | | | Total electoral votes in play: 118 | | | Democrat | Republican | Delaware
Electoral votes=3 | Gore (3) | | Florida
Electoral votes=25 | Gore (25) | | Maine
Electoral votes=4 | Gore (4) | | Michigan
Electoral votes=18 | Gore (18) | | New Hampshire
Electoral votes=4 | | | New Jersey
Electoral votes=15 | Gore (15) | | Ohio
Electoral votes=21 | | | Pennsylvania
Electoral votes=23 | Gore (23) | | West Virginia
Electoral votes=5 | | | | | Hot Senate Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Delaware (R) | Tom Carper (D) | *Philip Roth (R) | | New Jersey (D) | John Corzine (D) | Bob Franks (R) | | Florida (R) | Bill Nelson (D) | *Bill McCollum (R) | | New York (D) | Hillary Clinton (D) | Rick Lazio (R) | | Virginia (D) | *Chuck Robb (D) | George Allen (R) | | Michigan (R) | Debbie Stanebow (D) | *Spencer Abraham (R) | | Rhode Island (R) | Robert Weygand (D) | *Lincoln Chafee (R) | | | Hot House Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Connecticut 2nd (D) | *Sam Gejdenson (D) | Robert Simmons (R) | | Connecticut 5th (D) | *James Maloney (D) | Mark Nielsen (R) | | Florida 8th (R) | Linda Chapin (D) | Ric Keller (R) | | Florida 12th (R) | Mike Stedem (D) | Adam Putnam (R) | | Florida 22nd (R) | Elaine Bloom (D) | *Clay Shaw (R) | | Michigan 8th (D) | Dianne Byrum (D) | Mike Rogers (R) | | New York 1st (D) | Regina Seltzer (D) | Felix Grucci (R) | | New York 2nd (R) | Steve Israel (D) | Joan Johnson (R) | | North Carolina 8th (R) | Mike Taylor (D) | *Robert Hayes (R) | | New Jersey 7th (R) | Maryanne Connelly (D) | Mike Ferguson (R) | | New Jersey 12th (D) | *William Pascrell (D) | Anthony Fusco (R) | | Pennsylvania 4th (D) | Terry Van Horne (D) | Melissa Hart (R) | | Pennsylvania 10th (R) | Pat Casey (D) | *Donald Sherwood (R) | | Pennsylvania 13th (D) | *Joseph Hoeffel (D) | Stewart Greenleaf (R) | | Pennsylvania 15th (R) | Edward O'Brien (D) | Patrick Toomey (R) | | South Carolina 1st (R) | Andrew Brack (D) | Henry Brown (R) | | Virginia 2nd (D) | Jody Wagner (D) | Edward Schrock (R) | | West Virginia 2nd (D) | Jim Humphreys (D) | Shelley Capito (R) |
Central time zone
Things to look for: Odds are, as soon as these states become decipherable, we will know who the next president of the United States will be. Gore must hold on to Illinois, and if he has taken Michigan, Florida and Pennsylvania, the hat trick should give him enough to win the Electoral College vote. These battlegrounds provide the first real glimpse of the Nader factor. If Bush takes Michigan as well as Wisconsin and/or Minnesota, it will be because of a strong Nader showing. That will mean the end of the Democrats' hopes, and could be a good sign that Nader is on his way to the coveted 5 percent in the national polls, which may spell trouble for Democrats in years to come.
| CENTRAL TIME ZONE | | | Total electoral votes in play: 78 | | | Democrat | Republican | Arkansas
Electoral votes=6 | | | Iowa
Electoral votes=7 | | | Illinois
Electoral votes=22 | | | Minnesota
Electoral votes=10 | | | Missouri
Electoral votes=11 | | | Tennessee
Electoral votes=11 | | | Wisconsin
Electoral votes=11 | | | | | Hot Senate Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Missouri (R) | Mel Carnahan (D) | *John Ashcroft (R) | | Minnesota (R) | Michael Ciresi (D) | *Rod Grams (R) | | | Hot House Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Arkansas 4th (R) | Michael Ross (D) | *Jay Dickey (R) | | Illinois 15th (R) | Mike Kelleher (D) | Tim Johnson (R) | | Illinois 10th (R) | Beth Gash (D) | Mark Kirk (R) | | Kansas 3rd (D) | *Dennis Moore (D) | Phil Kline (R) | | Kentucky 3rd (R) | Eleanor Jordon | *Ann Northrup | | Kentucky 6th (R) | Henry Baesler (D) | Ernest Fletcher | | Minnesota 4th (vacant) | Betty McCollum | Linda Runbeck (R) | | Minnesota 6th (D) | *Bill Luther (D) | Paul Kline (R) | | Missouri 6th (D) | Steve Danner (D) | Sam Graves (R) | | Mississippi 4th (D) | *Clifford Shows | Dunnica Ott Lampton | | Oklahoma 2nd (R) | Brad Carson (D) | Andy Ewing (R) | | Wisconsin 2nd (D) | *Tammy Baldwin (D) | John Sharpless (R) |
Mountain time zone
What to look for: In the event of a Bush sweep, look for New Mexico to go to Bush. The question here is whether there will be any presidential coattails. These House races may provide some clue.
| MOUNTAIN TIME ZONE | | | Total electoral votes in play: 9 | | | Democrat | Republican | Nevada
Electoral votes=4 | | | New Mexico
Electoral votes=5 | | | | | Hot Senate Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Montana (R) | Brian Schweitzer (D) | *Conrad Burns (R) | | Nevada (D) | Ed Bernstein (D) | John Ensign (R) | | | Hot House Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Colorado 6th (R) | Ken Toltz (D) | *Thomas Tancredo (R) | | Montana (at large) (R) | Nancy Keenan (D) | Dennis Rehberg (R) | | New Mexico 1st (D) | *Jeff Bingaman (D) | Bill Redmond (R) | | Nevada 1st (D) | *Shelley Berkley (D) | Chris Porter (R) | | Utah 2nd (R) | Jim Matheson (D) | Derek Smith (R) |
Pacific time zone
Things to look for: The left coast is where Nader may have his true impact. And although it is unlikely, some are saying a late surge by the Green Party candidate in California may even put that state in play. If Bush carries California, it's good night nurse. Gore cannot possibly piece together an electoral victory without the anchor of the Golden State's 54 electoral votes. If there are splits in the Midwestern and Eastern battleground states, Washington and Oregon may be the states to put a candidate over the top. Again, if either of those states, or California, goes to Bush, the Republican president-elect will have Ralph Nader to thank. But California provides the best chance for Democrats to pick up seats in the House. Watch for the Nader factor in Washington, Oregon and California.
| PACIFIC TIME ZONE | | | Total electoral votes in play: 72 | | | Democrat | Republican | Oregon
Electoral votes=7 | | | Washington
Electoral votes=11 | | | California
Electoral votes=54 | | | | | Hot Senate Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | Washington (R) | Maria Cantwell (D) | *Slade Gordon (R) | | | Hot House Races | | | Democrat | Republican | | California 15th (R) | Mike Honda (D) | Jim Cunneen (R) | | California 20th (D) | *Cal Dooley (D) | Rich Rodriguez (R) | | California 27th (R) | Adam Schiff (D) | *Jim Rogan (R) | | California 36th (R) | Jane Harman (D) | *Steve Kuykendall (R) | | California 49th (R) | Susan Davis (D) | *Brian Billbray (R) | | Washington 1st (D) | *Jay Inslee (D) | Dan McDonald (R) | | Washington 2nd (R) | Dick Larsen (D) | John Koster (R) |
salon.com | Nov. 7, 2000
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About the writer
Anthony York is an associate editor for Salon News.
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