The first votes have already been cast in New Hampshire's 2000 primary. You can catch the action live on C-Span's TV and webcast.

Ghost of elections past
Bill Bradley's recent accusations that Al Gore is a flip-flop artist on abortion and campaign financing creates a strong case of dij` vu. During the 1988 primaries, presidential candidate Richard Gephardt (now a Gore supporter) made hay by accusing Gore of flip-flopping on abortion, citing the same voting analysis that Bradley does. Here's a March 7, 1988, U.S. News & World Report report by Michael Kramer:

In 1987, reminded the Gephardt campaign, the prolife group that monitors Congress described Gore as having a "near perfect anti-abort record." The most damning vote is the one in which Gore agreed to redefine "life" as beginning at conception, a change that would have ended the possibility of abortion -- even in the cases of rape and incest -- at facilities that receive federal funds. "Since there's a record of that vote, we only have one choice," concedes a Gore adviser anonymously. "In effect, what we have to do is deny, deny, deny." So Al Gore stood up last week and said, "I have not changed ... I have always been against anything that would take away a woman's right to have an abortion."

Bradley's campaign mannerisms have made quite an impression on voters and journalists alike. He's been likened to a professor and taken to school for his "academic" appearance and, now, for being a throwback, a radio age candidate.

Gore has drawn the line at accusing his opponent of negative campaigning and personal vilification but apparently some of his supporters pushed things too far Sunday when they insulted Bradley allies Rep. Jerrold Nadler and Sen. Bob Kerrey. Several reporters saw Gore volunteers insult Nadler's weight and Kerrey's prosthetic leg and then throw mud-laced snowballs at them.

Beating the Bushes
George W. Bush is on pace to pass the presidential campaign spending record. In 1999 he collected $68.7 million and spent $37.3 million. He resumed campaigning without press conferences Monday and hammered his core theme: that his opponent, John McCain, "sounds like Al Gore." He also skipped a scheduled rally in Exeter because, his campaign claimed, a protest rally there constituted a security threat. Reports said the rally was canceled because there was a marijuana legalization protest in the offing. Reporters on the ground said that the Bush cancellation left about 100 supporters out in the cold -- and a few Gore supporters triumphant.

Bush's father continues to make many appearances for him, saying George W. was "at his side" during crucial events like the Gulf War and the fall of the Berlin Wall. But there is a lack of evidence in the George Bush Presidential Library in College Station, Texas. The library's files do show George W. Bush advocating for the appointment of certain candidates for federal judgeships and lobbying on behalf of the oil industry. Liddy Dole -- onetime candidate and vice presidential hopeful -- is also beating the bushes for Bush support in New Hampshire and, soon, South Carolina.

McCain's moment?
There is relatively unanimous agreement that New Hampshire is the make it or break it moment for McCain's presidential campaign. Every poll agrees that he's running neck and neck with Bush, but his campaign coffers are almost dry, probably just enough to get him through the South Carolina primary Feb. 19. His campaign has run largely on his personal charisma, which has helped him with journalists who can't help but like him. Michael Lewis, writing in the New York Times Magazine, decided he couldn't report on McCain anymore because he liked him too much.

An end to the trailing trio?
The Steve Forbes campaign is still optimistic but polling only half of what is expected for Bush or McCain. Alan Keyes is right on Forbes' heels with estimates of between 5 and 10 percent of the vote. After falling offstage in a morning pancake flipping contest, Gary Bauer rose to tell the audience, "I'm a survivor," pancake in pan. Unfortunately, the polls do not reward culinary dexterity. Bauer is slated to capture 1 percent and possibly bow out of the race later this week.

New Hampshire clean-up
The conventional wisdom holds that independents will decide both the Democratic and Republican races, but their influence hinges on how many actually go to the polls. Hotline reports that a key local pollster, Dick Bennett, believes that 30 percent of the GOP votes must come from independents for McCain to win. That's creating another race between McCain and Bradley: McCain doesn't have all the independents to himself: Bradley has staged a formidable campaign to woo independents to his race. His supporters have even staged rallies outside of McCain appearances, and the two men will probably split their support.

One aspect of the New Hampshire race that has seldom been covered is the electorate's sense that they can't lose with this crop of candidates. Both the New York Times and the Washington Post led with stories Tuesday that canvassed happy voters.

All the candidates will be heading out of New Hampshire Tuesday night. Bush and McCain for South Carolina, where McCain has a Midnight Madness Rally scheduled in Greenville, Bradley for California, and Gore for New York City.

Watts breaks promise for new run
Despite his pledge to serve only three terms, Rep. J.C. Watts Jr., R-Okla., announced Monday that he would run for a fourth term. Rumors had swirled about Watts' future, but Republican arm wrestling and the threat of a Democratic Congress helped convince him to stay.

Clinton to declare
Hillary Rodham Clinton will officially announce her candidacy for the New York Senate race Sunday.